Aaron Rodgers, Steelers Odds: How Will A-Rod's Final Season Shape Up?

May 20, 2026 - 20:35

Aaron Rodgers has made it official. The veteran quarterback announced that he has just one season left in his career. That declaration shifts the focus from whether he will play to how his final year will unfold. For fans and bettors alike, the question now is what that last season will look like, especially if he ends up with the Pittsburgh Steelers.

Rodgers has been linked to Pittsburgh for months. The Steelers need a quarterback, and Rodgers needs a team that can compete. If he signs there, the oddsmakers will have plenty to say. Early lines suggest the Steelers would be a playoff contender, but not a Super Bowl favorite. The AFC is stacked with young talent like Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson. Rodgers at 41 years old, coming off a rocky stretch with the Jets, would face a steep climb.

What about individual stats? Rodgers has never thrown for fewer than 3,000 yards in a full season, but his touchdown numbers have dipped. In his last healthy year with Green Bay, he threw 26 touchdowns. With the Jets, he managed only eight in five games before injury. Odds would likely set his passing yard total around 3,500 to 4,000, with a touchdown over-under near 25. His mobility is also a question. He is not the scrambler he once was, so expect the line on rushing yards to be low, maybe under 100 for the season.

The bigger picture is legacy. Rodgers has one MVP award fewer than Peyton Manning and one Super Bowl ring fewer than Tom Brady. A deep playoff run with the Steelers could change that narrative. But the odds will reflect reality: Pittsburgh is a long shot. The team has a strong defense but questions on the offensive line and at receiver. Rodgers can elevate a roster, but he cannot fix everything alone.

For now, the betting markets will wait for his signature. Once he picks a team, the lines will move fast. One thing is certain: his final season will be watched closely, and the odds will shift with every snap.